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football sports betting dr:
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п»їFootball betting for profit: Learn sports betting now!
Чему вы научитесь.
Требования.
Описание.
I TEACH YOU HOW TO MAKE A SIDE INCOME BETTING FOOTBALL WITHOUT BORING STATISTICS BY LEARNING SIMPLE WAYS TO ANALYZE GAMES!
I will show you how I and a few hundred other professional sports bettors beat the bookies every single week and make money betting on football!
After completing this course, you will be able to make up to $ 5000 every month betting on football!
Do you think you can't win at sports betting? Do you think only bookies make money? Do you think you will lose your money gambling?
You are WRONG! There are a lot of people out there beating the bookies every single weekend, making thousands and thousands of dollars a month betting football. These people follow strict rules and are disciplined investors instead of degenerate gamblers! They know what to bet, when to bet and where to bet!
If you want to start your own side business with sports betting, this is the time!
In this course you will learn.
how bookies work to separate the suckers from their money.
how to find the best matches to bet on.
how to become a professional sports bettor.
how to turn a profit for your own longterm sportsbetting business!
how to get from gambling to investing in sports betting.
one simple trick that makes you a profitable bettor immediately.
Start your own sportsbetting business now!
Includes formulas to predict scores, proven strategies to make money betting sports, tipps how to avoid typical gamblers mistakes, a guide how to prevent being limited or kicked by your bookie, and tipps on how to make money selling your own picks over the internet.
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Football sports betting dr.
Bob Stoll founded Dr. Bob Sports in 1987 while studying statistics at UC Berkeley. In those 32 years Dr. Bob has been one of the most profitable and respected handicappers in the nation. Bob uses advanced math models with adjustments for current personnel/injuries that have proven to give him an edge over the Vegas line. Dr. Bob’s picks have an influence on the betting markets and his long term results are rivaled by very few public handicappers.
NFL Best Bets 222-166-2 (57.2%), including 132-78-2 (63%) on sides, in 4 seasons using an advanced NFL play-by-play model.
NBA Guru.
NBA Guru has two decades of handicapping experience in which he has utilized a background in math, finance, economics, and psychology to find value in the sports betting market.
ESSAYS.
Sports Betting as an Investment.
Most people think that sports betting is about finding вЂsure things,’ but in reality such вЂlocks’ are nothing more than gamblers’ fancy. Read More.
Money Management.
Tired of losing his money to the house, a bored millionaire in Las Vegas turns to you and offers you a proposition that you can’t refuse. Read More.
Advanced Topics.
A general understanding of the role that variance plays in betting and in life can help prepare advanced investors for the swings that naturally occur in betting. Read More.
Sports Betting as an Investment.
June 15, 2016.
Section 1: Sports Betting as an Investment.
Making Money by Betting on Sports.
Most people think that sports betting is about finding вЂsure things,’ but in reality such вЂlocks’ are nothing more than gamblers’ fancy. Just as in real estate, currency, stocks, or any other speculative market, вЂsure things’ simply do not exist. As a professional sports bettor, my goal is to find and exploit many small edges over a long period of time to earn a compounding return. Winning 55% of games is very significant, and with very conservative bet sizing, you can grow your return very quickly. Investing $10,000 into the stock market for a year and earning a 10% return is considered a great investment – but your return winning a modest 54% of your sports bets would trounce that return.
My picks have yielded a much higher risk adjusted return than the stock market. Obviously, the variance from season to season is formidable, but as anyone who had a significant amount invested in stocks or real estate in 2008 can tell you, such swings aren’t limited to sports. In the long run, my edge in what I do is far greater than the edge that you could hope to gain in any other speculative market.
Juice, and the power of 55%
Even though most sports bettors are losers in their own right (as a whole, bettors actually win an average of only 48% of their bets – less than they would expect to win if they just flipped a coin for every game), their losses are compounded by the fact that the house takes a cut of winnings, also known as the вЂjuice’ or вЂvig.’ Most sports books charge a 10% commission on wins, which means that a bettor must actually win 52.4% of his games just to break even. (Wagering $100 per game, a bettor loses $100 with a loss and wins $90.91 with a win, so he must go 11-10 (11/21 = 52.38%) to break even).
In order to beat the juice and win in sports betting, a bettor must employ a disciplined approach in their analysis of each game using methods that have proven to be successful in the long run. I discuss my math models and analytical metrics in my Handicapping Methods essay, but you must realize that only the best and most knowledgeable handicappers can win more than 52.4% of their games. In their 2007 two page article about my handicapping success, the Wall Street Journal wrote, “…fewer than 100 people can sustain (win rates of 55%) over time. Most of them belong to professional betting syndicates that hire teams of statisticians, wager millions every week and keep their operations secret.”
Touts often claim to be able to hit 60% or higher, but as I explain in my essay on Bayesian Probability, anyone who tells you that their long term expected winning percentage is higher than 60% is deluding themselves. Ten or more years ago a sharp handicapper could win about 60% long term but those days are over, as odds makers have become more savvy in the past decade or so. For a bettor to claim a greater than 60% long term expected win percentage, that would be mean that Vegas would have to consistently release lines with egregious errors, and that simply just does not happen often enough nowadays for claims of a greater than 60% long term expected win percentage. Any short term win rates of around 60% or higher are simply due to blind, short-term luck. For instance, last year (2016) in the first season using a new NFL play-by-play model, Dr. Bob Sports’ NFL Best Bet sides were an incredible 66-26 (71.7%), but that record was enhanced by winning a very large percentage of close games (31-12 on Best Bets decided by 7 points or less) rather than splitting the close ones. It still would have been a great season on NFL Best Bet sides (62%) if the close games had been 50% but I still can’t expect the new model to win 60%-plus on sides based on that one season – although the play-by-play model back-tested at a very profitable 56% winners.
I often hear amateur gamblers erroneously claim that winning 55% of games isn’t even enough to beat juice. As demonstrated above, a bettor only needs to win 52.4% to break even, and a 55% bettor will be very profitable in the long run if they pursue an optimal money management strategy.
Of course, as in any game of chance, there is variability in the actual results and just because you have won 55% in the past and expect to win 55% in the future doesn’t mean that you’re going to win 55% this upcoming season. There is variance in sports betting, as there is in most investments, and I calculate the standard deviation to figure out how much of my bankroll I can safely wager on each game during the season to accommodate potential negative swings while having very little chance of exhausting my bankroll. I have extensively quantified the variance that exists in sports betting, and use mathematical formulas to dictate the exact optimal amount to invest so as to maximize the ratio of profits to variance.
Money Management.
Money Management is as critical to a sports investor as picking winners. I have devoted many hours of careful analysis and math to optimal money management systems, which I have painstakingly outlined in my Money Management articles. Sports betting is more high risk (higher volatility and standard deviation of return) than stocks, but also results in a higher return if you follow a proven long term winning handicapper (of which there are very few).
My Money Management articles outline how to adjust your bet sizing based on your goals (expected return vs. probability of positive returns), your investment length (one season or many), your growth preference (flat or compounding), your risk tolerance (high or low) and the proportion of your overall bankroll which is made up by sports betting.
It is always better to set conservative expectations to avoid over betting.
Factoring in the Cost of my Service.
What is a Point spread?
Before I delve into rigorous explanations of how a bettor can gain an advantage against the point spread, it is important to understand what the spread actually represents. Point spreads were invented to keep bettors interested in games between teams of different talent levels – if a perennial powerhouse like Alabama plays a mid level team such as South Alabama, you’ll find very few people willing to bet on which team will win the game since Bama would be such a prohibitive favorite. However, most are willing to bet on whether Alabama will вЂcover the point spread’ and win by a certain number of points. If the point spread is 21.5, then the Crimson Tide must win by 22 or more points for their side of the bet to cover, while South Alabama must either win outright or lose by 21 points or less to cover their side. Point spreads are designed so that the probability of each outcome is roughly equal, and are generally set so as to approximate the median score differential between the two teams at the given site of the game.
However, skewed public perception, results-oriented analysis, and unsound metrics result in point spreads that are often biased one way or another. While the casual bettor does not possess the capacity to exploit these advantages, I have used mathematical models, situational analysis, significant trends and quantitative player analysis that are far more complex and accurate than anything else on the market to gain an advantage, which is why I have won 53% to 56% of my Best Bets (depending on the sport) over the last 29 years.
How are the lines set?
While the odds makers do to try approximate the median margin of victory between two teams, they also try to reduce their exposure to risk by setting lines such that the public money will fall evenly on both sides of a game, so that they can offset the bets against each other and earn a profit on the juice (cut of winnings taken by the house, explained below) without exposing themselves to large potential losses. Thus, odds makers are often in the business of gauging public perception rather than team performance, and therefore the betting public actually sets the line. In more recent years, the betting public has had less influence on the odds than professional betting syndicates or sharp money has had, but there is still value to be found – although in different ways than in previous decades. If Georgia is 4 points better than Georgia Tech according to my advanced metrics and analysis, but the aggregate public perception is that Georgia is 7 points better than Georgia Tech, then the posted point spread is likely to be closer to 6 or 7 points (public perception) than it will be to 4 points (the realistic difference between the teams). This makes my job as a professional handicapper much less daunting; not only can I exploit lines where the odds makers are off, but I can also exploit the uniformed opinions of the general betting public, and more recently take advantage of betting syndicates and вЂquants’ that rely more and more on algorithms but can overlook some of the hidden value in changes in team personnel or lineups and in the particular match up between two teams.
Isn’t gambling risky?
I don’t believe that the term вЂgambling’ applies to what I do. I sell information to subscribers, with which they can take positive expectation positions in uncertain markets. With correct financial optimization and bankroll management, long term risks are nominal compared to the risks of investing in other, more conventional markets. Just as a single stock may go up or down in a day, any one team may win or lose a given game. But as long as the investor maintains a long-term perspective, understands variance, and doesn’t over-extend themselves or bet more than they can easily handle, risk can be highly mitigated, and they can earn a very attractive risk adjusted return.
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https://www.wulfbecker.de/fx602p-sim/?error_checker=captcha&author_spam=WonEndarce&email_spam=db0738473%40gmail.com&url_spam=https%3A%2F%2Fsure-fixedmatch.com&comment_spam=%3Ca+href%3Dhttps%3A%2F%2Fcutt.ly%2FtgUsZ9U%3E%3Cimg+src%3D%5C%22https%3A%2F%2Fi.ibb.co%2F51hhpry%2FFIXED.gif%5C%22%3E%3C%2Fa%3E++%3Ca+href%3Dhttps%3A%2F%2Fbit.ly%2F3dWKdMz%3E%3Cimg+src%3D%5C%22https%3A%2F%2Fi.ibb.co%2FKX93qVN%2FVisit-website.png%5C%22%3E%3C%2Fa%3E+++%D0%BF%C2%BB%D1%97Wolves+vs+Leicester+City+betting+tips%3A+Preview%2C+predictions+%26+odds.At+the+moment+there+is+no+player+information+for+this+match.+Please+check+later.Wolves+vs+Leicester+City+betting+tips.This+article+covers+Wolves+vs+Leicester+City+betting+tips+and+predictions.Also+included+is+a+thorough+Wolves+vs+Leicester+City+betting+preview.Note%3A+All+odds+mentioned+in+this+article+are+correct+at+the+time+of+publishing+and+are+subject+to+change.Wolves+vs+Leicester+City%3A+Match+details.Match%3A+Wolves+vs+Leicester+City.Competition%3A+Premier+League.Date%3A+February+7%2C+2021.Kick-off+time%3A+2%3A00+pm%2C+February+7%2C+2021+%28UK+time%29Stadium%3A+Molineux+Stadium.WOLVERHAMPTON%2C+ENGLAND+%D0%B2%D0%82%E2%80%9C+FEBRUARY+02%3A+Bernd+Leno+of+Arsenal+is+shown+a+red+card+by+referee%2C+Craig+Pawson+during+the+Premier+League+match+between+Wolverhampton+Wanderers+and+Arsenal+at+Molineux+on+February+02%2C+2021+in+Wolverhampton%2C+England.+Sporting+stadiums+around+the+UK+remain+under+strict+restrictions+due+to+the+Coronavirus+Pandemic+as+Government+social+distancing+laws+prohibit+fans+inside+venues+resulting+in+games+being+played+behind+closed+doors.+%28Photo+by+Shaun+Botterill%2FGetty+Images%29Betting+prediction%3A+Wolves+0-3+Leicester+City.Despite+the+good-natured+look+of+the+scoreline+against+Arsenal%2C+Wolves+were+completely+out+of+the+contest+until+David+Luiz+was+sent+off.+Truthfully%2C+Arsenal+probably+should+have+won+comfortably.Leicester+City+%D0%B2%D0%82%E2%80%9C+especially+if+Jamie+Vardy+is+back+in+the+matchday+XI+%D0%B2%D0%82%E2%80%9C+should+be+able+to+find+similar+joy+in+the+final+third+against+a+Wolves+forced+to+deploy+outside+of+their+traditional+back-three.Wolves+vs+Leicester+City%3A+Recommended+bets.Result%2FBoth+Teams+to+score%3A+Leicester+%D0%B2%D0%82%E2%80%9C+No.Wolves+really+have+struggled+for+goals+at+the+minute%2C+with+just+the+one+goal+against+Chorley+in+the+FA+Cup%2C+while+being+blanked+by+Chelsea+and+Crystal+Palace.+They+looked+anemic+in+the+final+third+against+Arsenal+as+well+until+Luiz+was+given+his+marching+orders.+Nuno+Espirito+Santo%D0%B2%D0%82%E2%84%A2s+men+needed+to+rely+on+a+spot-kick+and+a+30-yard+belter+from+Joao+Moutinho+to+crack+the+Gunners%D0%B2%D0%82%E2%84%A2+defense.+Leicester+should+be+able+to+cope+even+without+Wesley+Fofana.Over+2.5+goals+scored.Leicester+should+be+good+for+multiple+goals+against+a+Wolves+back-line+that+looks+out+of+sorts+when+out+of+their+primary+deployment.+What+is+unclear+is+if+Wolves+will+feel+embolden+when+in+possession+after+a+result+against+Arsenal.+A+3-0+comfortable+result+for+Leicester+is+just+as+likely+%28on+current+form%29+as+a+2-1+result+for+either+side+given+what+Wolves+are+actually+capable+of+when+they%D0%B2%D0%82%E2%84%A2re+firing+on+all+cylinders.Wolves+vs+Leicester+City%3A+What+are+the+betting+odds%3FWolverhampton+vs+Leicester+odds%3A+result%2C+both+teams+to+score%2C+correct+score+%26+goalscorers.Wolverhampton+vs+Leicester+Result%2FBoth+teams+score+Yes+No+Wolverhampton+13%2F2+9%2F2+Leicester+4%2F1+9%2F4+Draw+4%2F1+7%2F1.Wolverhampton+vs+Leicester+Goalscorers+First+Last+Anytime+Jamie+Vardy+13%2F8+13%2F8+21%2F20+Kelechi+Iheanacho+5%2F2+5%2F2+13%2F8+Fabio+Silva+3%2F1+3%2F1+9%2F4+da+Silva+Willian+Jose+10%2F3+10%2F3+12%2F5+Ayoze+Perez+7%2F2+7%2F2+12%2F5.Wolves+vs+Leicester+City+%D0%B2%D0%82%E2%80%9C+recent+form+and+head+to+head+statistics.February+2%2C+2021+Premier+League+20%2F21+Wolverhampton+Wanderers+FC+2+-+1+Arsenal+FC+January+30%2C+2021+Premier+League+20%2F21+Crystal+Palace+FC+1+-+0+Wolverhampton+Wanderers+FC+January+27%2C+2021+Premier+League+20%2F21+Chelsea+FC+0+-+0+Wolverhampton+Wanderers+FC+January+22%2C+2021+FA+Cup+20%2F21+Chorley+FC+0+-+1+Wolverhampton+Wanderers+FC+January+16%2C+2021+Premier+League+20%2F21+Wolverhampton+Wanderers+FC+2+-+3+West+Bromwich+Albion.February+3%2C+2021+Premier+League+20%2F21+Fulham+FC+0+-+2+Leicester+City+FC+January+31%2C+2021+Premier+League+20%2F21+Leicester+City+FC+1+-+3+Leeds+United+January+27%2C+2021+Premier+League+20%2F21+Everton+FC+1+-+1+Leicester+City+FC+January+24%2C+2021+FA+Cup+20%2F21+Brentford+FC+1+-+3+Leicester+City+FC+January+19%2C+2021+Premier+League+20%2F21+Leicester+City+FC+2+-+0+Chelsea+FC.Wolverhampton+Wanderers+FC+Leicester+City+FC+22+Matches+played+22+7+Matches+won+13+251+Goal+attempts+250+95+Shots+on+goal+94+89+Shots+off+goal+78+118+Corner+kicks+115+48%25+Average+ball+possession+52%25+67+Shots+blocked+78+37+Cards+given+40+273+Free+kicks+335+22+Offsides+45+3+Shots+on+post+3+5+Shots+on+bar+3+18+Goals+by+foot+33+4+Goals+by+head+3+23+Goals+scored+39+31+Goals+conceded+25.Wolverhampton+Wanderers+FC+Leicester+City+FC+25+Matches+25+13+Home+Matches+12+12+Away+Matches+13+27+Total+Goals+31+1.08+Average+Goals+Scored+1.24+5+Wins+8+8+Losses+5+12+Draws+12.November+8%2C+2020+Premier+League+20%2F21+Leicester+City+FC+1+-+0+Wolverhampton+Wanderers+FC+February+14%2C+2020+Premier+League+19%2F20+Wolverhampton+Wanderers+FC+0+-+0+Leicester+City+FC+August+11%2C+2019+Premier+League+19%2F20+Leicester+City+FC+0+-+0+Wolverhampton+Wanderers+FC+January+19%2C+2019+Premier+League+18%2F19+Wolverhampton+Wanderers+FC+4+-+3+Leicester+City+FC+September+25%2C+2018+EFL+Cup+18%2F19+Wolverhampton+Wanderers+FC+0+-+0+Leicester+City+FC.WOLVERHAMPTON%2C+ENGLAND+%D0%B2%D0%82%E2%80%9C+SEPTEMBER+29%3A+Ruben+Neves+of+Wolverhampton+Wanderers+during+the+Premier+League+match+between+Wolverhampton+Wanderers+and+Southampton+FC+at+Molineux+on+September+29%2C+2018+in+Wolverhampton%2C+United+Kingdom.+%28Photo+by+Lynne+Cameron%2FGetty+Images%29Wolves+vs+Leicester+City%3A+Match+preview.It+was+not+pretty%2C+but+Wolves+will+not+be+complaining.+A+2-1+result+against+Arsenal+at+the+Molineux+in+midweek+temporarily+arrested+their+eight-match+run+without+a+three-point+haul.+Despite+the+nature+of+the+result%2C+Nuno+Espirito+Santo+still+has+an+enormous+amount+of+work+to+do+to+extract+the+maximum+from+a+side+that+is+struggling.On+another+day%2C+Arsenal+would+have+been+comfortably+ahead+at+half+time.+But+football+is+a+cruel+business%2C+and+though+Wolves+still+had+to+rely+on+a+Ruben+Neves+penalty%2C+and+a+superb+strike+from+range+from+compatriot+Joao+Moutinho%2C+the+result+cannot+mask+the+fact+that+Wolves+were+poor+at+the+back+throughout.+Arsenal+still+crafted+chances+when+down+to+ten+men%2C+and+even+still+when+down+to+just+nine+later+on+in+proceedings.Something+needs+to+change+in+the+West+Midlands%3B+soon.+Under+normal+circumstances%2C+at+the+very+least%2C+Wolves+should+be+more+difficult+to+break+down+and+usually+are+when+in+a+back-three.+But+the+wheels+falling+off+the+bus+when+transitioned+into+a+back-four+given+selection+issues+should+be+a+massive+concern+for+Espirito+Santo.Issues+this+season+are+so+much+more+than+just+having+to+cope+with+Ra%D0%93%D1%94l+Jimenez%D0%B2%D0%82%E2%84%A2s+injury%2C+or+the+sale+of+Diogo+Jota.+Willian+Jos%D0%93%C2%A9+is+a+rather+capable+temporary+centre-forward+replacement%2C+while+Pedro+Neto+and+Daniel+Podence+have+shown+their+attacking+qualities.+Refreshment+in+midfield+in+the+long+term+could+also+be+targeted%2C+but+at+the+very+least%2C+taking+on+a+very+difficult+Leicester-side+is+another+acid+test+on+where+Wolves+currently+are%2C+but+also+if+they+have+reached+the+end+of+the+line+in+their+current+iteration.Leicester+City+must+continue+to+avoid+the+expected+decline.Registering+just+four+points+from+twelve+in+the+last+four+matches+of+the+2019-20+Premier+League+campaign+consigned+Leicester+City+to+Europa+League+football+rather+than+an+unexpected+dream-return+to+the+Champions+League.+Many+expect+the+Foxes+%D0%B2%D0%82%E2%80%9C+rightly+or+wrongly+%D0%B2%D0%82%E2%80%9C+to+lose+steam+once+again+under+Brendan+Rodgers%2C+especially+with+the+resumption+of+the+Europa+League+on+the+horizon.Once+again%2C+Leicester+&lang=en
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