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10 biggest questions for B1G football in 2021.
From an initial postponement of the college football season to a nine-game slate that saw just two teams play across all scheduled weeks, there were no dull moments for the Big Ten in 2020. But after a roller-coaster ride throughout the past fall, the conference gets a clean slate, with buzz already building for later in 2021.
Through the chaos, a College Football Playoff and national championship contender emerged in Ohio State. The Buckeyes suffered a 52-24 loss to Alabama in the title game, but ultimately tightened a grip on the league and took another step under head coach Ryan Day , among other storylines.
"I'm really proud of our whole program for not only winning a championship, the Big Ten championship, going on and making it to the national championship," Day said last Friday. "But the fact that we really followed the protocol to keep our guys safe. We really did a great job of that. We did not cut any corners. We worked really hard to make sure our guys were safe but also competed. And that was really the conversation starting when the Big Ten canceled the season. We just wanted a chance to go play, but also be safe. And we did that, and it was hard."
OSU and others in the Big Ten, however, face a fresh set of respective challenges entering 2021. As a new year begins, here are 10 of the biggest questions.
10.) Who's rebuilding best in the East — Maryland, Michigan State or Rutgers?
(Photo: В© Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports, USA TODAY Sports)
247Sports' Take: Starting with a battle of the first-year head coaches Oct. 24 when Greg Schiano's Rutgers won 38-28 at Mel Tucker's Michigan State, the East Division saw a shakeup in 2020. As Indiana ascended and Michigan declined, the Scarlet Knights posted a 3-6 record while Maryland flashed at 2-3 and Michigan State went 2-5. Rutgers knocked off Maryland 27-24 in overtime Dec. 12, but the Terrapins were without a key piece in Alabama transfer quarterback Taulia Tagovailoa . Schiano's debut was a strong one, but how much more the Knights climb depends on Michigan State's second-year development under Tucker and Maryland's full-strength potential led by third-year head coach Mike Locksley .
9.) What will Illinois look like under Bret Bielema in the West?
(Photo: В© Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports, USA TODAY Sports)
247Sports' Take: Formerly Wisconsin's head coach from 2006-12, does Bret Bielema have a successful Big Ten West return on the horizon at Illinois? From a veteran quarterback in Brandon Peters to an intriguing athlete on the roster with Isaiah Williams, the Fighting Illini have some offensive pieces. Newly hired defensive coordinator Ryan Walters , previously at Missouri (2015-20) in the same role from 2018-20, is a rising star. Given Nebraska's inability to get over the hump and a down 2020 for Purdue in what has been a generally open division through the years, seeing how Bielema builds after he went 68-24 overall and 37-19 against Big Ten play with the Badgers is an interesting development.
8.) Is this a make-or-break year for Scott Frost?
(Photo: В© Bruce Thorson-USA TODAY Sports, USA TODAY Sports)
247Sports' Take: Before three notable Nebraska players entered the NCAA transfer portal Tuesday, a latest wave after star playmaker Wan'Dale Robinson left for Kentucky Jan. 15, head coach Scott Frost already had to be feeling some sense of urgency. The Huskers battled back from a 1-4 start to finish the 2020 season 3-5, with wins at Purdue (37-37, Dec. 5) and Rutgers (28-21, Dec. 18) around Dec. 12's 24-17 loss against Minnesota, but Frost is 12-20 overall and 9-17 against Big Ten play since he took over his alma mater in 2018.
7.) Was Minnesota a one-year wonder in 2019?
(Photo: В© Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports, USA TODAY Sports)
247Sports' Take: Amid coronavirus issues, Minnesota went 3-4 in 2020 after posting a breakout season the previous year by going 11-2 and 7-2 against Big Ten play. As a junior, quarterback Tanner Morgan regressed, completing 106 of 183 passes (67.9%) for 1,374 yards and seven touchdowns to five interceptions in seven games. The previous campaign, Morgan went 210 for 318 (66%) with 3,253 yards and 30 touchdowns to seven interceptions. Head coach PJ Fleck answered Dec. 19 after the Golden Gophers suffered a 20-17 loss at Wisconsin.
"This needs to be a while of adapting of what we need to be and what we need to be able to do," Fleck said. "And personnel was really hard this year because you're filling holes instead of really growing them. You're just getting the personnel out there to fill the holes of the boat and plug them up real quick. I'll have a little bit more of an answer for you as we continue to go through it here, but just be more consistent every area and be way more efficient on all sides of the ball."
6.) Does Iowa have enough to contend for the West?
(Photo: В© Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports, USA TODAY Sports)
247Sports' Take: After a bumpy offseason and 0-2 start to the campaign, Iowa ripped six straight wins and finished 6-2. The Hawkeyes did so behind a defense that ranked third among 14 Big Ten teams at 16 points per game. First-year starter Spencer Petras was solid but not spectacular, completing 140 of 245 passes (57.1%) for 1,569 yards and nine touchdowns to five interceptions in eight games. Iowa loses top two receivers Ihmir Smith-Marsette and Brandon Smith, but do the Hawkeyes have enough to remain a West Division contender under longtime head coach Kirk Ferentz ?
5.) Is Graham Mertz the guy to make Wisconsin a national contender?
(Photo: В© Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports, USA TODAY Sports)
247Sports' Take: Graham Mertz turned heads Oct. 23 when he debuted as a starter in the 45-7 win at Illinois with his 20-of-21 passing (95.2%) performance, throwing for 248 yards and five touchdowns as Wisconsin looked like a runaway favorite to win the Big Ten West. After a coronavirus outbreak that included Mertz kept the Badgers sidelined until Nov. 14 at Michigan, a 17-7 loss to Northwestern the following week — plus defeats against Indiana and Iowa — changed things. Wisconsin's defense was stout once again in 2020, and the Badgers have pieces, but a decisive factor is Mertz at quarterback — a spot where the team's ceiling has always seemed to be. Mertz completed 118 of 193 passes (61.1%) for 1,238 yards and nine touchdowns to five interceptions in seven games.
4.) Can Michael Penix Jr. stay healthy and take Indiana to another level?
(Photo: В© Marc Lebryk-USA TODAY Sports, USA TODAY Sports)
247Sports' Take: Indiana broke through entirely in 2020, following 2019's 8-5 finish, going 6-2 and nearly knocking off Ohio State with a valiant comeback effort on the way to Nov. 21's 42-35 loss. The Hoosiers stayed afloat for a final three-game stretch without rising-star quarterback Michael Penix Jr. , who suffered a season-ending ACL injury in Nov. 28's 27-11 win over Maryland. For two straight years now, Penix's promising starts have unfortunately been ended due to injury. Indiana figures to be a player for the Big Ten East behind Ohio State once again entering 2021, but Penix's health goes a long way in determining the ceiling. In 12 games from 2019-20, Penix has completed 234 of 380 passes (61.6%) for 3,039 yards and 24 touchdowns to eight interceptions while adding four rushing scores.
3.) Was 2020 just a bump in the road for Penn State?
(Photo: В© Matthew OHaren-USA TODAY Sports, USA TODAY Sports)
247Sports' Take: After a program-worst 0-5 start, Penn State showed some fight to end the 2020 season. The Nittany Lions won their final four games as they salvaged what was left of an otherwise disappointing year at 4-5. Head coach James Franklin made a major move Jan. 8, firing offensive coordinator Kirk Ciarrocca after one year and hiring Mike Yurich, formerly of Texas (2020) and Ohio State (2019). Franklin posted a trio of 11-win seasons with one 9-4 campaign in the previous four years from 2016-19. Penn State, despite losing stars on both sides of the ball in linebacker Micah Parsons and running back Journey Brown , should still have enough talent to be a Big Ten East player. How the Lions bounce back after a down year could determine a lot in the conference for 2021.
2.) What is Michigan's plan with Jim Harbaugh?
(Photo: В© Junfu Han via Imagn Content Services, LLC, USA TODAY Sports)
247Sports' Take: Everything at Michigan seemed to go wrong in 2020, but the Wolverines moved forward with a contract extension for head coach Jim Harbaugh . The move was reportedly an incentive-based one, though, significantly lowering Harbaugh's base salary. Harbaugh also made major staff changes, with firing defensive coordinator Don Brown chief among them, while quarterback remains a question for the Wolverines. Michigan has declined since 2018's 10-3 mark, going 9-4 in 2019 and 2-4 this past year, so the upcoming season — despite the new deal — is pivotal for Harbaugh.
1.) Can anyone dethrone Ohio State as the Buckeyes transition to a younger QB?
(Photo: В© Adam Cairns/Columbus Dispatch via Imagn Content Services, LLC, USA TODAY Sports)
247Sports' Take: After a fourth straight Big Ten title and second consecutive CFB Playoff appearance, reaching a first national championship game since the 2014 season, Ohio State reloads once more. Day's recruiting has taken the Buckeyes to a higher level from where former head coach Urban Meyer (2012-18) left off, and Ohio State should be superior from a talent perspective again when the 2021 season kicks off. How the Buckeyes replace a historically good two-year starter at quarterback in Justin Fields , though, remains to be seen. Day certainly has some options with how he has recruited, from his pair of rising redshirt freshman in CJ Stroud and Jack Miller to five-star true freshman Kyle McCord . But Fields leaves big shoes to fill.
Big Ten and big game college football expert picks, odds for Championship Week.
Off to so-called “Championship Week” in the world of Big Ten football, and it looks like everything is on for the Big Ten Championship Game between Ohio State and Northwestern. Some of the other games were not so lucky, hitting the chopping block because of coronavirus outbreaks.
В© Provided by Buckeyes Wire Big Ten, big game college football predictions, championship game week.
Despite it all, we’ll continue to keep grind along to a finish here in hopes that safety rules the day. There are in fact, three more games that won’t happen in the conference because of COVID-19 outbreaks and so the slate is a little thin in the Big Ten.
There are other conferences playing championship games though, so we have those to look forward to as well.
As we do each week during Big Ten football season, we’re bringing you our expert picks and predictions on all the league games against the spread, and straight-up. Also, as an added bonus you didn’t know you even craved, we’ll throw in six of the top games across the slate of all the college football games for the week. We’re the judge and jury on that one.
As a reminder, if there’s an asterisk next to the pick, that means the team will win, but not cover. We get our odds from BetMGM. In the event of a tie, George Washington settles it via the old coin-flip.
INSTRUCTIONS: Make your pick against the spread. For example …
– If you think Ohio State will win -3.5 over Michigan: OSU.
– If you think Ohio State will win outright: OSU.
– If you think Ohio State will win, but NOT cover: OSU*
Here are our expert picks for Week 7, but first our results after six weeks of play.
RESULTS SO FAR.
CONSENSUS PICK : 55-26 SU, 42-39 ATS.
College Football Expert Picks: Big Ten's Return Leads the Weekend.
The week Big Ten and Mountain West football fans have been waiting for is here: both conferences join the schedule this weekend, with the Big Ten kicking off its 2020 season when Illinois travels to No. 14 Wisconsin for a Friday night clash in Madison. The rest of the league will play on Saturday, with matchups including Michigan–Minnesota, Ohio State–Nebraska and Penn State–Indiana. In the MWC, Hawaii takes on Fresno State in an under-the-radar Saturday-night clash out west.
As the schedule expands, so does SI's picks. This week our writers are predicting 15 games, drawing from both the Power 5 and Group of Five.
Standings to Date.
Molly Geary : 39–15 Ross Dellenger : 35–19 Michael Shapiro : 34–20 Pat Forde : 33–21.
While these picks are for entertainment purposes only, SI recently launched our Premium Betting Membership backed by Vegas Insiders. SI Fantasy PRO members get real-time betting alerts whenever information comes in.
2020 Big Ten expert picks: Most overrated and underrated teams, order of finish, bold predictions.
Taking a close, detailed and opinionated look at the Big Ten as it begins its season.
The college football world has been forced to wait longer than usual for it -- and for a while there, it wasn't even going to happen -- but the 2020 Big Ten season officially starts this weekend. The Big Ten will be the fourth Power Five conference to begin play this season, following the ACC, SEC and the Big 12. But what can we expect from college football's oldest conference in 2020?
With such strange circumstances for its season -- an eight-game conference-only schedule with no bye weeks and an additional game during championship week -- it's not easy to predict what's going to happen, but don't worry, we've got all the experts you need here at CBS Sports to figure it out.
Ohio State is your obvious favorite in the conference, but is there anybody else that can challenge the Buckeyes for a Big Ten title? Are any of us willing to go out on a limb for one of them? And what about the Big Ten West? Who is the best team there, and can any of them challenge the East champion as the West looks for its first Big Ten title since the conference went to the geographical divisions in 2014?
Our CBS Sports college football experts have gathered to answer all of these questions ahead of the season.
Most overrated team.
Michigan: It is always the talk of the Big Ten East, as in, "Will this be the year Jim Harbaugh finally does the one thing he was hired to do -- beat Ohio State?" Maybe this will be the year, but there is no real basis for optimism. It's a lot of talk for a team that has only finished as high as second in the division one time in coach Harbaugh's tenure. With a tough cross-division schedule, even that may be a lot to ask of the Wolverines this season. -- Palm (also Fornelli, Sallee, Kercheval)
Iowa: This is your annual reminder that Iowa has finished ranked three times in the last decade. The Hawkeyes have finished above third place in their division/league twice since 2004. Throw in a player revolt involving race and a $20 million lawsuit, and this looks like it may be Kirk Ferentz's final season. I mean, there must be a different standard in Iowa for what is expected for $4.9 million per year. -- Dodd.
Nebraska: There's a certain trajectory you look for when predicting a breakthrough for programs. On the surface "Year 3 with Scott Frost" and "three-year starter Adrian Martinez" seems like the recipe for success, but I look to how Nebraska has fared against the best teams in the conference as the indicator for a return to Big Ten title competition. The Cornhuskers lost 48-7 to Ohio State and 37-21 to Wisconsin in 2019 with a 56-10 defeat to Michigan and 41-24 loss against the Badgers in 2018. The closest thing to a "signature win" in Big Ten play under Frost is the close loss to Ohio State in Year 1, so until the wins are there I'm going to wait on the Huskers hype. -- Patterson.
Michigan State: The Spartans are just 9-9 in Big Ten play over the past two seasons. They're also adjusting to a new coach in Mel Tucker while returning no more than three starters on either side of the ball. Given all the transition and the fact that there is no appealing option at quarterback, this team could challenge the 2016 and 2006 teams for the title of worst of the century at Michigan State. A 3-5 record in the regular season should be considered a success for these Spartans, but don't be surprised if they also struggle in winnable games against Rutgers, Maryland and Northwestern. -- Cobb.
Most underrated team.
Indiana: The Hoosiers' biggest problem is one of geography. Indiana went 8-4 during the regular season last year, but three of those four losses came to Ohio State, Michigan and Penn State. The three Big Ten East powerhouses it has to play every year. The Hoosiers were 8-1 against everybody else and 3-0 in three games against Big Ten West teams. In other words, if the Hoosiers were in the Big Ten West, we'd be going into the 2020 season considering them a dark horse to compete with Wisconsin and Minnesota for a division title. Instead, we're looking at another fourth-place finish at best. -- Fornelli (also Patterson, Palm, Cobb)
Minnesota: It was a cute little story last year when the Golden Gophers entered rivalry weekend with the College Football Playoff in their sights. They should enter the truncated 2020 season with much more than just surface-level hype. Tanner Morgan is one of the top quarterbacks in the game, the return of wide receiver Rashod Bateman was one of the biggest stories of the offseason, running back Mohamed Ibrahim is one of the better running backs that you've never heard of and the offensive line will return intact. That's one heck of an offensive foundation that should be even more effective than normal given the odd offseason. There are plenty of holes on defense . but the Gophers should be able to force most teams into offensive shootouts, which is exactly the style that they want to play. -- Sallee (also Dodd)
Purdue: The Boilermakers were hit hard by the injury bug in 2019. Among those lost were star wide receiver Rondale Moore, quarterbacks Elijah Sindelar and Jack Plummer, guard DJ Washington and defensive tackle Lorenzo Neal. The results were predictable. Purdue finished 4-8 without any real wins of consequence. But last year's injuries mean Purdue gets most of those stars back while fielding a more experienced roster overall. Most importantly, Moore has chosen to opt back into the season after initially opting out. The schedule is mostly favorable, too, with zero difficult cross-division games. The hardest games -- against Wisconsin and Minnesota -- are on the road, but that also means the Boilermakers presumably get their more winnable games at home. With Moore back, a healthier Boilermaker team should pick off one or two favorites their not supposed to. -- Kercheval.
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