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»UFC Vegas 18 odds: Latest betting lines and gambling guide for ˜Overeem vs Volkov
Get a detailed breakdown of the betting lines for UFC Vegas 18, which is set to hit UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada, this weekend (Sat., Feb. 6, 2021), including best bets, underdogs, favorites and much more!
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After a three-card stint on Fight Island, the Octagon returns to UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada, this Saturday (Feb. 6, 2021) with a pivotal Heavyweight clash in tow. In UFC Vegas 18s main event, the venerable Alistair Overeem puts his two-fight win streak on the line against perennial contender Alexander Drago Volkov. Down at 135 pounds, former Lightweight champion, Frankie Edgar, looks to make it two straight at Cory Sandhagens expense and The Ultimate Fighter (TUF) winner, Macy Chiasson, faces Marion Reneau.
Its a fine return to action after two weeks away, and one we can profit from. Heres how:
UFC continues its live events schedule from Las Vegas on Feb. 6 with its Overeem vs. Volkov-led fight card available to stream RIGHT HERE dont miss a single second of face-punching action!
Up Next! ˜Reem Team Heads Back To Vegas!
What Went Wrong at UFC 257 ?
Too many eggs in one painfully inconsistent basket. I really should have known better than to trust Khalil Rountree, even against the likes of Marcin Prachnio. In my defense, the article came out before his weight cut issues came to light. Its a damn shame about Dan Hooker, though. It still shocks me that Michael Chandler was able to floor him with one punch when Dustin Poirier carpet-bombed The Hangman to no effect. Im slapping an extra hypothetical $300 onto the hypothetical money pile. Lets turn this around .
UFC Vegas 18 Odds For The Undercard:
Predictions! UFC Vegas 18 ˜Prelims Preview - Pt. 1.
Predictions! UFC Vegas 18 ˜Prelims Preview - Pt. 2.
Thoughts: As one-sided as it is, this undercard is full of bargains, namely Timur Valiev, Lara Procopio and Youssef Zalal.
Valiev was almost even money against initial foe Julio Arce, and while -335 is a far cry from -125, hes still worth an investment. The guys still an incredible fighter despite that debut loss, and Day has dropped three straight. Valiev has the kickboxing skill to keep up on the feet and is by far the better wrestler, making him a safe investment.
Molly McCanns defensive wrestling has failed her in both of her Octagon losses, and shes largely had to rely on her offensive wrestling against low-level Flyweights in her wins. Not only is Procopio significantly superior on the mat, but shes a skilled enough striker to hold her own a weight class up against Karol Rosa.
Shes fefinitely a solid underdog investment.
Seung Woo Choi has fought two quality UFC opponents (Movsar Evloev and Gavin Tucker) and one very, very bad one (Suman Mokhtarian), The quality duo combined to land 10 takedowns on him, and considering Zalals willingness and ability to drag opponents to the mat, thats a death sentence. Choi doesnt even figure to have much of an edge on the feet, as Zalals length, durability, and savvy make landing a knockout shot a borderline impossible task. The Moroccan Devil should be a much larger favorite, so make sure youre in position to punish the bookies for their error.
UFC Vegas 18 Odds For The Main Card:
Edgar Believes Finish Over Sandhagen Earns Him UFC Title Shot.
Reem Will ˜Retire Immediately After Winning Title.
Thoughts: Alistair Overeem, Alexandre Pantoja and Cody Stamann are your investments of choice.
Im genuinely not clear on why Alexander Volkov is the favorite against Overeem. Thats because Dragos best wins came over Fabricio Werdum and Walt Harris, both of whom Overeem also defeated, and looks to struggle against the Dutchmans mobile striking offense. On top of that, Volkov has yet to fully address the grappling issues that have plagued him throughout his UFC career, presenting another tempting target for the well-rounded Overeem.
In short, the veteran is a definitely worth your time.
Manel Kape has looked like a monster in his last few Rizin bouts, but those came against opponents willing to oblige him in the stand up. The last time he faced a capable grappling specialist, Ulka Sasaki dominated him on the mat. Pantoja is tough as nails and a hugely dangerous submission artist, giving him the tools necessary to spoil Kapes Octagon debut.
Stamann, meanwhile, was -310 against Andre Ewell, which if anything undersold the stylistic nightmare he posed to Mr. Highlight. Hes still a bargain at -380 against Octagon newcomer Askar Askar, not to be confused with Flyweight contender Askar Askarov. Askar is an okay wrestler with painfully bad striking defense that Stamann should have little issue exploiting, making The Spartan a reliable anchor.
UFC Vegas 18 Best Bets:
Parlay Youssef Zalal and Alistair Overeem: Bet $40 to make $107.20 Parlay Timur Valiev and Lara Procopio: Bet $30 to make $61.50 Parlay Cody Stamann and Alexandre Pantoja: Bet $40 to make $49.20.
UFC Vegas 18 is a damn strong card and a perfect return to form after UFCs January blitz. Dont miss it. See you Saturday, Maniacs!
To check out the latest and greatest UFC Vegas 18: Overeem vs. Volkov news and notes be sure to hit up our comprehensive event archive right here .
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McGregor favored vs. Poirier by UFC 257 betting odds.
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Ready for Poirier vs. McGregor 2 ? We sure are.
The Notorious Conor McGregor returns to the octagon Saturday for a lightweight fight against Dustin Poirier at UFC 257 . The main card will begin at 10 p.m. ET and is available in full on pay-per-view via ESPN+. Below, we look at BetMGM˜s odds for McGregor-Poirier 2 at UFC 257 .
McGregor-Poirier 2 odds.
All odds via BetMGM; last updated Friday at 11:40 a.m. ET.
McGregor, the fourth-ranked fighter in the lightweight division, is the betting favorite in his return. The -300 odds represent an implied win probability of 75.19% and can be expressed as a fraction of 33/100 or a decimal of 1.33. A $10 bet would return a profit of $3.30 if he is declared the winner.
You Pickem! Make your UFC 257 picks and compete to win $5,000 in the ESPN UFC 257 Pickem game. Play now!
Special UFC 257 Betting Promotion!
Bet $1 on McGregor to win, WIN $100 (in free bets) if McGregor beats Poirier at UFC 257 . New customer offer available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, TN and WV. PA residents, dont miss BetMGM ˜s special risk-free, first-bet offer.
New customer offer, terms and conditions apply. Place your legal, online sports bets at BetMGM . BET NOW!
McGregor-Poirier 2 fight info.
Conor The Notorious McGregor.
Height: 5-foot-9.
Weight: 155 pounds.
Reach: 74 inches.
Stance: Southpaw.
Last fight: Win (KO/TKO) vs. Donald Cerrone Jan. 18, 2020.
Dustin The Diamond Poirier.
Height: 5-foot-9.
Weight: 155 pounds.
Reach: 72 inches.
Stance: Southpaw.
Last fight: Win (unanimous decision) vs. Dan Hooker June 27, 2020.
How to watch and stream Conor McGregor at UFC 257?
Catch the entire UFC 257 fight card, including Poirier-McGregor 2 , on Pay-Per-View on ESPN+.
Where can I bet on McGregor at UFC 257?
Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
MMA Junkie :
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov Betting Odds.
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov Odds & Analysis.
Date: Saturday, Feb. 6, 2021 TV-Time: ESPN/ESPN+, 8:00 p.m. ET Venue: UFC Apex Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States.
Lets have a look at this fight from a bettors perspective.
We got an 8-year age discrepancy between the fighters, but I dont think that will play into this fight.
Alistair Overeem is a bit of a statistical outlier when it comes to age, as he seems to have entered his UFC careers peak in his last five fights. If not for that controversial last-second KO to Rozenstruik, Overeem would be on a 5-fight win streak, 3 of those wins as an underdog.
Historically in the heavyweight division, the underdogs have cashed more often than in any other weight division, giving us some value on Overeem. Alistair has shown his ability to upset the bookies before.
Alexander Volkov tends to use his reach to pick his competition apart from the outside and has no problem going to a decision to do so. In the UFC, half of his wins have come via decision, which is quite irregular for a heavyweight.
I usually like fighters who are statistical outliers and use it to their advantage in order to win. However, whether its a lack of power or simply a matter of game-planning, Volkovs tendency to drag fights to a decision will not do him well against Overeem. On the contrary.
At this point in his career, Alistairs biggest weakness is facing someone who can blitz him early and shut his lights off before he can settle and get into his rhythm. Once he gets going, his veteran experience and knowledge of the game often earn him the win.
Since 2015, Overeem has gone past the first round 9 times and has won 7 of those times.
If Volkov wants a drawn-out fight that goes into the championship rounds, he is doing Alistair a favor. The superior grappling of ˜The Demolition Man could very well be put on display if the fight goes the distance.
The value is on Alistair Overeem as the underdog in this matchup.
Overeem vs. Volkov Betting Odds.
Volkov remains a healthy -175 favorite over Overeem and we haven't seen much movement in this market after opening on January 13.
Overeem vs. Volkov Total Rounds.
While most betting shops are offering 1.5 Rounds for this heavyweight clash, BetMGM is providing three different options with adjusted money for the five-round fight.
The consensus feeling is that this fight won't make the championship rounds (4th, 5th) and should be over within 15 minutes.
Overeem vs. Volkov Betting Insights.
Age : Alexander Volkov is eight years younger than Alistair Overeem.
Experience : Since 2015, Overeem has won 7 out of 9 of his fights that have gone past round one.
Grappling : Overeem is the superior grappler in 3 of 4 statistical categories, only bested in takedown accuracy.
UFC Betting Odds History - Overeem vs. Volkov.
Alistair Overeem (Last 5)
Alexander Volkov (Last 5)
Overeem vs. Volkov Fight Breakdown and Pick.
The winner of this fight will be a step closer to a shot at the title.
While the scheduled bout between Ciryl Gane and Jairzinho Rozenstruik might determine who is the #1 ranked heavyweight, Overeems name recognition and -value will probably lead him to a title fight if he beats Volkov in impressive fashion. For Volkov, I see at least one or two more wins on top of Overeem if he wants a go at the champion.
Whoever can impose their gameplan on the other fighter will win this bout. Overeem will most likely look to grapple, whereas Volkov will look to keep the fight standing and finish Alistair. On the feet, Volkov has a higher striking differential than Overeem, but on the ground, ˜The Demolition Man will definitely be able to have his way with the Russian, granted he gets the fight there.
The problem I see for Volkov is that he is the one that has to prevent something from happening.
Overeem probably wont have an issue standing with Volkov, but the Russian will have a problem on the ground with the underdog. I feel Volkov needs to pull a first-round KO out of the hat to win here, and I dont see that happening based on the fact that hes only managed one first-round KO in the last 6 years, and it wasnt even in the UFC.
My early lean has me going with Overeem to cash as the underdog against Volkov.
UFC Fight Night - Co-Main Event Breakdown.
Cory Sandhagen vs. Frankie Edgar.
The co-main event of UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov features a classic veteran vs. up-and-comer matchup. Frankie Edgar, 39, made his UFC bantamweight debut in his last fight, earning an impressive underdog win over #8 ranked Pedro Munhoz. Edgar is 2-3 in his last 5.
On the other side of the cage, weve got 135-pound striking prospect Cory Sandhagen, who is coming off a second-round KO win over hard-hitting striker Marlon Moraes. Standing 51 tall, Sandhagen is unusually tall for the UFCs bantamweight division, and will tower over the 56 Edgar.
A win over Edgar sets up Sandhagen for a bout against the winner of Petr Yan vs. Aljamain Sterling, while a win over Sandhagen throws Frankie Edgar into the title mix in his new weight division.
Join me in breaking down the co-main event of UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov, between Cory Sandhagen and Frankie Edgar.
Sandhagen vs. Edgar Betting Odds.
As expected, Sandhagen is a very large favorite over Edgar who could likely get underdog support from casual UFC bettors just based on his name.
Sandhagen vs. Edgar Betting Analysis.
The betting line being this wide tells me that bookies and bettors believe that Edgar is on his way out, and I dont really disagree with that. Edgar is 39 years old and peaked back in 2010 when he captured and defended the lightweight title. Problem is, we are in 2021 now, and I feel like Edgars skill set hasnt evolved since the 2010 era of UFC fighting.
Big reach and height advantages for Sandhagen, along with one of the highest striking differentials in the UFC today makes ˜Sandman the rightful favorite.
My only concern is Sandhagens lacklustre takedown defense. His mindset seems to be that he has no problem going to the ground because he believes in his ability to scramble back to his feet. That didnt work well for him against Sterling, however, Edgar is not the same submission wiz, but can still grind out a lay-and-pray decision if Sandhagen is not careful.
Still, I see very few indications that Edgar is a valuable bet, and even at -400 I honestly believe the value is on the 11-year younger fighter, but not H2H. For value, I recommend looking at the Sandhagen by decision lines when they open.
Sandhagen vs. Edgar Betting Insights.
Age : Cory Sandhagen is 11 years younger than Frankie Edgar. In matchups with an 11-year gap, the youngster wins 7 out of 10 times.
Striking Wiz : Sandhagen has one of the highest active striking differentials in the UFC, meaning that he dishes out significantly more strikes compared to what he absorbs.
UFC Betting Odds History - Sandhagen vs. Edgar.
Cory Sandhagen (Last 5)
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer (L) Cory Sandhagen -111 vs. Aljamain Sterling -111.
Frankie Edgar (Last 5)
Sandhagen vs. Edgar Fight Breakdown and Pick.
While it's hard not to root for Edgar as the veteran he is, I cant see him getting the W over Sandhagen on February 6th.
While lackluster on paper, Sandhagens takedown defense of 30% does not account for times hes gotten back to his feet. Edgar can not win this fight by striking with Sandhagen. In order to win on the scorecards, Edgar would need control time upwards of 2.30 minutes in at least 3 of the 5 scheduled rounds.
Frankie could very well get the better of Sandhagen early on, but as the fight goes on I foresee panic wrestling from ˜The Answer, and Sandhagen pulling ahead on the scorecards, utilizing his large striking toolbox.
Im predicting that Sandhagen gets his hand raised against Frankie Edgar, in the co-main event of UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov, on February 6th.
UFC Fight Night (UFC Vegas 18) Fight Card.
Along with the two main events, there are currently nine other fights on tap for the UFC Fight Night card in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Listed below are the "opening odds" on those fights per the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.
Check out these numbers, then the updated odds to see where the money is going.
Odds & Card Subject to Change - Updated 2.4.21.
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