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   | Domenica 18 Luglio 2021 - 06:45
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2021 Daytona 500 Odds, Picks & Predictions: 3 Early Bets for NASCAR’s Biggest Race.
Photo by Brian Lawdermilk/Getty Images. Pictured: Ricky Stenhouse Jr., driver of the #47 Kroger Chevrolet, leads a pack of cars.
The new year is finally here, and while that means football season is coming to a close, it’s also a reminder that NASCAR’s season-opening race, the Daytona 500 (Feb. 14 at 2:30 p.m. ET), is right around the corner.
Daytona 500 odds are available at most sportsbooks, so it’s time to turn our attention toward motorsports and start building betting cards for NASCAR’s biggest race.
With this in mind, here are three drivers I’m locking in right now for the Daytona 500.
Daytona 500 Picks.
*Odds as of Jan. 8 at 10 a.m. ET.
In an event that can be very random, Hamlin has found a way to dominate the Great American Race in recent years.
The Joe Gibbs Racing (JGR) driver has won back-to-back 500s and three of the last five.
That’s pretty good.
And it’s not just Daytona that fits Denny’s superspeedway eye as of late, evidenced by finishes of fourth and first at Talladega last year as well.
In fact, here were Hamlin’s finishes at the four superspeedway races last season: first, fourth, third and first, for an insane 2.3 average finish.
I’m typically in very little rush to bet Daytona 500 favorites this early, but I can’t find any reason to wait on Hamlin at 8-1 odds right now.
I just can’t quit you at superspeedways, Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
Stenhouse is the ultimate checkers-or-wreckers driver, a characteristic that often results in wadded-up race cars.
Still, I’m not overly concerned about where he finishes because, as a bettor, if he ain’t first, he’s last.
Ricky’s two Cup Series victories came at Talladega at Daytona (both in 2017), and he’s shown the speed to win there throughout this career, including last season after switching from Roush Fenway Racing to JTG-Daugherty Racing.
Stenhouse won the pole and led the third-most laps in the 2020 Daytona 500, then followed it up with a runner-up at Talladega in June in which he crossed the finish line .007 seconds behind winner Ryan Blaney in a crazy finish.
At 20-1, this is a worthy price to add one of the series’ top superspeedway drivers, especially one who will not settle for anything less than a win.
Part of being a successful bettor is understanding your flaws, especially the ones that bleed profit throughout the season.
My New Year’s NASCAR betting resolution is to stop taking so many longshots at superspeedway races, especially the Daytona 500.
Sure, anything can happen in these races and that’s what can be seductive with longshot prices, but the deep sleepers rarely ever take the checkered flag.
As a result, I’ll be looking more toward props for my favorite sleepers — follow me on Twitter (@PJWalsh24) for my Daytona 500 props — while avoiding them (hopefully) to win outright.
With that said, I’m taking a shot, and a fairly big one, on Chris Buescher at 40-1 odds.
Here are the top 10 drivers (sorted by driver rating at the four superspeedway races last season) and corresponding 2021 Daytona 500 betting odds via BetMGM.
The list above includes the six drivers with the best odds to win the Daytona 500 and seven drivers at 16-1 or shorter. Kurt Busch, the 2017 winner is next at 20-1, leaving just Buescher (40-1) and Jones (66-1) as the outliers.
For those wondering, Jones, who was around 28-1 to win this race last year, switched from powerhouse team JGR to Richard Petty Motorsports in the offseason, explaining the significant drop in price.
That list alone illustrates why I’m willing to take a flier on Buescher, but looking at average finish makes this bet even more appetizing.
Hamlin and Blaney were the only current Cup Series regulars who finished with better average finishes than Buescher at superspeedways in 2020.
So, in Buescher we’re getting a driver …
In very fast Roush Fenway Racing superspeedway equipment. Who finished with the sixth-best driver rating at superspeedways in 2020. Who had the third-best average finish at superspeedways in 2020.
Additionally, savvy bettors can get Buescher at an even better price by shopping the market and locking him in right now at William Hill at the unbeatable price of 50-1.
Best NASCAR Betting Sites for 2021.
NASCAR is one of the most inclusive sports on the planet. A quick cross-section of the fanbase will show you a wide range from young to old, collared shirts to camo hats, and tame to country wild. NASCAR is an American past time enjoyed by the masses and is continuing to expand its fan base every single weekend.
What you may or may not be aware of is that behind the scenes of those aggressive left turns is a massive world of sports betting on all of the races. Fans of all shapes and sizes will put their money where their mouth is for some added excitement for the race or if they’re sharp, to make some serious beer money.
The world of sports betting on NASCAR racing is a big industry and with the right bettor can be very profitable. If you’re new to betting on NASCAR or are a seasoned sports bettor looking to move your action online, you’ve come to the right place. We’ve put together this page as a comprehensive guide to teach you everything you need to know about getting in on the action.
It’s time to get out of the pits and on track to make some serious money betting on NASCAR.
I’ve Got a Hot Tip! Get Me Betting NOW!
NASCAR fans are known for speed, and we understand if your stay on this page is only a pit stop on your way to making a bet. If you’ve come here with a hot tip on a driver or a race and are ready to bet, we’re here to send you off to the best sportsbooks on the web offering NASCAR wagering.
We broke down how we arrived at these recommendations in full below but to keep your pit time short, we will give you the quick abridged version. These are the best sites currently available on the net for NASCAR sports betting action and have been fully vetted by our team for a whole host of factors including security, trustworthiness, and reliability among other things.
Sites CANNOT pay to be on this list. We repeat, there is no way for a site to make this list other than providing a top-notch product. Unfortunately, most other review sites do not follow the same protocol and are therefore worthless when it comes to their reviews. We also regularly update this list if necessary as things in the industry change.
NASCAR vs. Other Racing Organizations.
The world of auto racing does not start and end with NASCAR. Even though the Daytona 500 is by far the biggest race in NASCAR, you have the Indy Car, Formula 1, rally series, NHRA, and so many more. The good news, though, if you’re new to the NASCAR front is that the betting is extremely similar to that of other organizations. In fact, it is relatively the same.
You’ll find that you have the same level of access to information and to the drivers as you would in the other popular organizations. With other sports, we’ve packed this section full of differences and tips comparing the different organizations. That won’t be the case here, though, because NASCAR sports betting follows the same course like any other racing organization.
What’s Important in a NASCAR Betting Site.
Selecting an online site to take your NASCAR betting action should be easy. The operative word here is “should”. You would think with so many options to choose from on the market, that every site would rise to the occasion and produce an amazing product. Unfortunately, the vast majority of them don’t pass the test, and some don’t even come close.
In response to this, we’ve put together some criteria that you can look for to help you select the best option for you. If you’re not in the mood to sift through the corners of the web, we recommend just checking out one of the sites we listed above in the I’ve Got a Hot Tip Section. For those that want to look on their own or know how we arrived at our list, we’ve outlined that here for you.
Trust and Integrity.
Winning at sports betting is not easy no matter how sharp and smart you are. It becomes nearly impossible if you have to worry about the safety of your money or getting paid out your winnings. You can make a million winning race picks, and it doesn’t mean anything if you can’t trust that you’re going to get your money off.
For this reason, this factor takes the pole position on our list. If a site even hints that they have issues with trust, reliability, and their integrity, they’re kicked to the curb immediately and will never find a place on any of our lists. To find this information, we get under the hood of the site and look at their company history, their listed executive team, payment history, payment processes, licensing and regulation, third party audits, and anything else we can get our hands on.
We take zero excuses when it comes to this and neither should you.
Betting and Transaction Limits (Professional Bettors Only)
For most bettors (even serious amateurs), this will never be an issue with most sites. But for professionals betting for a living or those betting high stakes, this may come into play on a few sites. Most sites have some sort of transaction limits and betting limits to protect the users. This is a great feature for most bettors but could create issues if you are looking to bet big.
Thankfully, this is usually a quick fix. Most sites will raise their limits if you contact them and request it. You may have to provide some sort of documentation just to prove that you are you (don’t worry, not for the IRS), but that is a breeze. Again, most sites limits are already pretty high and will not affect about 99% of the people reading this :) We just like to include everything to be as thorough as possible.
Website and User Interface.
As NASCAR fans, we all know the importance of a good and clean dashboard. When you’re going 200 mph, mistakes can happen if you don’t have a well laid out dashboard with clear dials and indicators. We are trying our best to make an analogy here. What we are trying to say is that you need to be betting at a site that has a well thought out and user-friendly dashboard.
You don’t want a site where there is tons of clutter, and things are disorganized. This will make it difficult to find the bets you want and place the bets you want without mistakes. Sadly, this is something that has proven difficult for a lot of sites offering bets on NASCAR. Most likely this is because they originally planned for a much smaller sportsbook that is now bursting at the seams thanks to expansion.
Regardless of the reason, it is unacceptable. Your NASCAR betting experience should be seamless. It should be easy, headache free, and should set you up for success.
Different “Levels” of NASCAR Betting Sites.
Depending on the site you choose, you will have access to varying levels of bets and bet types on NASCAR races. The lower level sites will offer the most basic of bets (win bets) and only on the main races. You will have no options to bet on pole position or any other prop style bets that could be important to you.
Some sites will give you this betting flexibility allowing you to leverage any and all of your picks and predictions on the races. You’ll be able to bet on things that might not affect the actual winner of the race and be able to really leverage any piece of knowledge or tip you have. The sites we’ve recommended above are in this class and offer as much flexibility in betting as there is for NASCAR.
2021 NASCAR Cup Series Championship odds, preview.
Our NASCAR expert breaks down the 2021 NASCAR Cup Series Championship odds, with the schedule set to kick off this month.
With one championship and 58 race victories on his job summary, Kevin Harvick is likely on his way to the NASCAR Hall of Fame.
A second championship would likely make him a first-ballot choice for the Hall’s voting committee. Getting that second championship looks extremely doable for the 45-year-old native of Bakersfield, California in 2021.
NASCAR Cup Series championship odds 2021.
Odds courtesy of BetMGM. Correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Betting on NASCAR futures? Check out this offer from BetMGM.
Already got an BetMGM account? Check out more great new customer offers from NJ's best online sports betting sites.
2021 NASCAR Cup Series championship betting favorites.
Harvick is coming off a season which he dominated in terms of race victories – he had a series-leading nine in 36 races. He also gathered 20 top-five finishes.
During the regular season and then into the first rounds of the playoffs, Harvick appeared to be the favorite to win the championship. But a rare bad outing at Martinsville Speedway in Virginia in the penultimate round of the playoffs kept him out of the Championship 4.
Little has changed for Harvick for 2021. He will be back driving a Ford for powerhouse Stewart-Haas Racing, he will still have Rodney Childress as his crew chief and you can be sure he will still have plenty of swagger on race weekends.
About the only change for Harvick and the No. 4 car is that they will have a new teammate in young Chase Briscoe, who is taking the wheel of the No. 14 car that retired Clint Bowyer had been driving.
Perhaps no other driver was affected as adversely by the Covid 19 pandemic and the changes it forced upon NASCAR as Kyle Busch.
Busch, who won his second Cup championship in 2019 failed to win a race until the 34th race of the 2020 season. This for a guy who won 27 times between 2015 and 2019.
What happened? The Cup season went on a pandemic-forced hiatus after four races in 2020. When the series did return to the tracks, they did so with a pandemic protocol that shortened the weekends and eliminated practice sessions.
Busch is the type of driver who has used Friday and Saturday practices to improve his cars and get into a rhythm. On race days post hiatus, Busch and his team had trouble finding winning speed.
2021 will begin with many of the same protocols in place. It will also begin with Busch still in possession of what many around the sport think are the best racing skills in NASCAR.
Busch has parted ways with long-time crew chief Adam Stevens, who is replaced by Ben Beshore on the Joe Gibbs Racing team.
Young Chase Elliott was not only the surprise winner of the 2020 Cup Series championship, he was also the year’s top storyline.
Elliott, 25, is the son of NASCAR legend Bill Elliott, aka Million Dollar Bill. Chase has a ways to go to post the numbers his father had but with the championship coming in just fifth full season in the series, he’s on his way.
He won five races last year and had a career best 22 top-10 finishes.
He won the final two races of the season. Elliott, who has taken over the role as the sport’s biggest fan favorite in the wake of Dale Earnhardt Jr.’s retirement, has clearly found his footing.
Elliott has been especially impressive on road course where he won twice a year ago. With three additional races on the twisties scheduled for 2021, Elliott could be in for a big year.
Team Penske’s Keselowski won four races in 2020. Three of those came prior to the start of the 10-race playoffs. He also had 13 top-fives and nine of those came before the playoffs.
The Michigan native survived a very shaky four-race stretch in the playoffs where his best finish was 13th, came on to log sixth-place or better finishes in the final four race and come home second in championship points.
It was that kind of season for “Bad Brad”. He spent the first half of it wondering about his future as he was in the final year of his contract at the elite Penske team. However, one day after picking up a race win in New Hampshire in mid-summer he signed an extension.
Keselowski’s lone championship came in 2012 but he has finished in the top-eight six times since then.
Hamlin wears an unofficial title that has both positive and negative connotations connected with it – best active driver to have never won a Cup Series championship.
There is little reason to think that he could not break free of that image this coming season.
Hamlin has won 44 races. Three of those have been in the sport’s biggest event – the Daytona 500.
Thirteen of his victories have come during the last two seasons when he won six times in 2019 and seven in 2020. He has drove his way into the season-ending Championship 4 the last two seasons. He is the two-time defending champion of he Daytona 500.
So, at age 40, the native of Chesterfield, Va., is at the top of his game. His team owner, Joe Gibbs, must think so too as Hamlin was given a new multi-year contract on Feb. 1.
Truex had an off year in 2020 as he won just one race and failed to advance to the Championship 4.
Truex had won four, eight, four and seven races from 2016 to 2019. He was the 2017 Cup Series champion and finished as runner-up in 2018 and 2019.
What happened? Well, there was a new crew chief as James Small took over for Cole Pearn on the No. 19 Joe Gibbs Racing car. But a better answer might be that nothing really bad happened.
Truex remained one of the most consistent drivers in the series. He had 23 top-10 finishes, which was the third most in Cup. He had five second-place finishes and six third-place finishes on the year.
In the Round of 8, he was dealt a 20-point penalty for a pre-race inspection violation at Texas.
The final blow to his hopes for a berth in the Championship 4 came the following week at Martinsville when, while in contention for the win, he had to pit with a loose wheel 25 laps from the finish.
BetMGM agrees first sports betting/NASCAR team deal with Richard Childress Racing.
NASCAR team Richard Childress Racing (RCR) has agreed a multi-faceted partnership with sports betting platform BetMGM , with the two collaborating on a variety of marketing and activation assets.
These will include primary sponsorship for select races during the 2021 NASCAR Cup Series and BetMGM’s designation as the Official Sports Betting Operator of Richard Childress Racing. This marks the first partnership between a NASCAR team and sports betting operator.
Richard Childress , Chairman and CEO of Richard Childress Racing, commented: “BetMGM is at the forefront of the sports betting and online gaming industry and Richard Childress Racing can certainly relate to their pioneering vision. This innovative relationship will provide opportunities to collaborate in new and groundbreaking ways.”
BetMGM’s agreement with RCR kicks off this month at Daytona International Speedway with an associate partnership on RCR’s No 3 Chevrolet driven by Austin Dillon, as well as the No 8 Chevrolet driven by Tyler Reddick. The Daytona 500 airs live on FOX on February 14.
Matt Prevost , BetMGM’s Chief Revenue Officer, said: “Richard Childress Racing is one of the most respected and formidable teams in motorsports. Together we will develop compelling marketing opportunities and activations that introduce the BetMGM sports betting brand to NASCAR fans worldwide.”
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